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Trump Would Beat Biden Handily if Election Were Held Today: Poll

Former President Trump would handily win the presidential election if it were held today – thanks in part to a stunning boost in support from black and Hispanic voters, according to a new poll.

The survey from New York Times and Siena College found the former president beating Biden by 5 points — with Biden getting the support of just 43% of the electorate compared to Trump’s 48%. A further 10% said they didn’t know or declined to answer.

The numbers showed Trump making sweeping gains above and beyond his traditional bases of support from white men. Trump pulled 23% of black voters — a demographic Republicans typically never win more than single digits; Biden’s support among black voters was at 66%.

Among Hispanic voters, Trump led Biden 46% to 40%.

“The big takeaway for Democrats is they have to be concerned, and they are going to do everything they can — keeping Trump off the ballot or trying him up in court. Do not underestimate them,” Rep. Jeff Van Drew (R-New Jersey) told The Post.

“Anybody that believes that blacks and Hispanics don’t care about safety in the urban areas in which many of them live, they’re wrong,” added Van Drew, who chairs Trump’s New Jersey campaign effort.

The poll was a nightmare of other warning signs for the 81-year-old president.

Trump remains unpopular — with just 43% of Americans viewing him favorably — but Biden is held in even lower regard, with only 38% favorability among voters.

Fewer than one in four voters said the country was on the “right track,” while 65% declared the nation was moving in the “wrong direction.” A full 43% of voters said President Biden’s policies have hurt them compared to just 18% who said they had been helped.

A majority of voters said they believed the U.S. economy was in “poor” condition, and a total of 47% of voters said they “strongly disapprove” of Biden’s performance as president — an all time high for the poll during Biden’s presidency.

The poll also suggested that Trump’s election coalition has held together better than Biden’s has.

The survey found 97% of voters who backed Trump in 2020 said they would do so again, while Biden would only get 83% of his 2020 voters — and a critical 10% of former Biden voters said they plan to back Trump in 2024.

More worrying for Democrats, the poll also showed significant deterioration among core Biden voters.

In 2020, Biden won 92% of the black vote and 59% of the Hispanic vote, according to Pew Research. Trump got just 8% of the black vote in 2020 and 38% of Hispanic vote, Pew found.

Overall in 2020, President Biden won 72% of non-white voters without a college degree. Now, Biden only commands the support of 47% of those voters, a narrow lead over Trump, who took 41%, the poll found.

Trump has also opened a yawning lead in voter energy, the survey found. Nearly half of Republicans voters said they were enthusiastic about the prospect of Trump being the party’s presidential nominee. By contrast just 23% of Democrats said they were enthusiastic about a second Biden term.

“It’s very alarming for Biden,” said pollster Carly Cooperman. “Trump has been able to hold together his coalition, while Biden’s is falling apart. It’s very clear from the poll that people are very unhappy with the state of the country.”

The national survey of 980 registered voters, taken from Feb. 25 to 28, had a 3.5% margin of error on the question of presidential preference.

  • southersgolfer says:

    Hard to believe that with what America is going through right now, people would vote for a Democrat. I know, there are die hard Democrats out there just like republicans, but this administration has brought America to her knees and if you can’t see that, I have no idea what to say to you. Compare the Trump years with what we are witnessing now. No conparison. The crime, the border, inflation, food prices, spy balloons, all of it.

  • Judy says:

    Any real American who votes for any demo rat is voting for evil devils. and a communist country.

  • A. Michaels says:

    Today, tomorrow, next month, next year, ….if Trump doesn’t win, America loses, it’s that simp[le.

  • judy says:


  • Dorothy says:

    I hope a Revolution becomes real if these paid off Democrats try to turn the election again. They did it in 2020 and everything horrible they did to our country is blatant and very obvious. Let them try it again. May I add the greedy elitists were in on it too. Do not think all Americans can be fooled. You all have blood on your hands and your souls are gone.



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